Can Xiaomi's New Line and GAC's Push Revive the Stagnating Extended-Range EV Market?

Deep News
Sep 08

"Absolute carnage."

That was the immediate reaction from a veteran auto marketing executive after watching Xiaomi's launch event for its new Pengcheng N70 and N90 extended-range electric vehicles (EREVs), a sentiment shared with financial media.

On September 7th, the Pengcheng N70 and N90 series hit the market with a starting price of 209,900 yuan, rapidly securing over 10,000 locked orders within just four minutes. For 239,900 yuan, buyers can now get a 76kWh battery, all-wheel drive, and air suspension. Xiaomi is once again trying to play the role of the market's "price disruptor," a familiar strategy for the company.

Xiaomi is re-applying its proven playbook in the automotive sector, aiming to redefine consumer expectations for standard features at a given price point, forcing rivals to explain why they charge more for fewer specifications. This competitive squeeze is directly targeting the premium pricing that previously existed in the 200,000-300,000 yuan SUV segment.

However, Xiaomi is entering an extended-range market that has lost the momentum of its high-growth phase. Data from the China Passenger Car Association shows that wholesale shipments of extended-range passenger vehicles in July reached 100,000 units, a 7.5% year-on-year decline. In contrast, pure electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles saw growth of 28.6% and 14.6%, respectively, during the same period.

Adding to the competitive pressure, the GAC Group brand's Qijing GX7, which began pre-sales three days prior, also carries the significant burden of expanding its brand's sales volume. With new entrants hungry for growth but facing a shrinking segment, they must now aggressively vie for customers already considering other vehicle options.

An increasing number of carmakers are adopting the extended-range formula, yet the key selling points are becoming increasingly similar to those of pure electric vehicles: larger batteries, faster charging, and less reliance on fuel for daily driving. The fuel tank is receding into a backup role, and the era of attracting customers simply by promising "no range anxiety" is coming to an end.

With the arrival of new models from Xiaomi and Qijing, the competition between extended-range and pure electric SUVs is set to intensify, heralding a more crowded and fierce battle for market share in the 200,000-300,000 yuan segment.

Pivotal Model for Xiaomi's Growth

The Pengcheng is first tasked with filling a significant growth gap for Xiaomi's EV division. In the first half of this year, Xiaomi delivered 185,100 vehicles. To meet its annual target of 550,000 units, it needs to average approximately 60,800 deliveries per month in the second half, a roughly 75% increase over the second-quarter monthly average. With the Pengcheng launching in September, it has less than four months to contribute significantly to the annual delivery tally.

Institutional forecasts have already been adjusted downward. In its mid-year review on August 21st, Shenwan Hongyuan Securities revised its full-year delivery forecast for Xiaomi from 506,000 down to 465,000 units. This pre-launch projection sits notably below the company's own goal, meaning the Pengcheng must become a substantial source of sales to change the external narrative around full-year growth.

For Xiaomi, selling one more model isn't sufficient; it needs to broaden the appeal of its entire brand to a wider customer base.

During the Q2 earnings call, Xiaomi Group President Lu Weibing stated that the Pengcheng must be clearly differentiated from the SU7 and YU7 sedans to avoid cannibalizing its own sales. He estimated that based on early orders, the overlap between potential Pengcheng and YU7 customers was only around ten to twenty percent; while the SU7 and YU7 focus on the sporty driving experience, the Pengcheng is designed around space and appeals to an older demographic.

This is a crucial insight into the Pengcheng's design philosophy. Xiaomi has already captured a segment of consumers who enjoy driving dynamics with the SU7 and YU7. Simply replicating that appeal wouldn't significantly boost overall growth. The Pengcheng must provide a compelling reason for a different type of buyer to choose a Xiaomi vehicle.

At the launch event, Xiaomi's founder and CEO Lei Jun highlighted feedback from sales, operations, and field staff who frequently travel to counties and districts, citing needs for temporary offices, meetings, and rest. The N70's variable interior space, the N90 Max's seven-seat layout, and the Explorer version's pop-up roof are designed to meet these varied use cases, extending the vehicle's utility beyond just driving, with family needs being only one part of the puzzle.

Pricing will determine whether these use cases translate into sufficiently broad purchase intent. The N70 Pro's entry price of 209,900 yuan lowers the barrier, while the Max version, with its 30,000 yuan premium, offers a larger battery, all-wheel drive, and air suspension, enticing customers to upgrade.

This pricing structure also has direct implications for profitability. Xiaomi's CFO, Alain Lam, explained during the Q2 call that the reduced deliveries of the SU7 Ultra, the rising share of the new SU7, and cost changes had impacted the gross margin of its automotive and other new businesses. He specifically noted that the impact of the Pengcheng on Q3 and Q4 margins would depend heavily on its final pricing strategy.

With pricing now finalized, the sales mix of models and versions will be a key metric for this next phase of growth. The initial wave of locked orders proves its appeal, but Xiaomi must ensure these orders not only expand scale but also generate the revenue to support its significant R&D and manufacturing investments.

Qijing GX7 faces a more fundamental challenge. According to GAC Group's announcement, its first model, the GT7, sold 2,658 units in July and only 1,100 in August. The GX7, which shifts from a personalized shooting brake to a large five-seat SUV, must establish a much broader sales base for the new brand.

The GX7 carries a clear business objective: to generate consistent foot traffic and orders that can fully utilize the sales and service network already built. The Pengcheng is about expanding Xiaomi's existing business; the GX7 is about ensuring the Qijing brand can establish a firm foothold in the market.

Harder to Command a Premium in the 200,000-300,000 Yuan SUV Segment

The N70 is directly entering the five-seat extended-range SUV market, competing head-on with models like the Aito M6 and Li Auto L6, while also courting potential buyers of pure electric SUVs like the Li Auto i6.

The most direct competition is with the Aito M6. The extended-range Max all-wheel-drive version of the Aito M6 is priced at 239,800 yuan and comes with a 37kWh battery. The N70 Max, priced at 239,900 yuan, offers a 76kWh battery.

At nearly the same price point, Xiaomi offers a significantly longer pure electric driving range. Customers who previously had to pay more for a higher-spec version to get a larger battery now have a direct option to switch brands. This configuration sheet will also put pressure on the price differences between high and low-spec versions of competing extended-range models.

This competition isn't confined to the extended-range category. Consumers who prefer using electric power most of the time but have unpredictable long-distance needs might be torn between the Li Auto i6 and an extended-range SUV, or hesitant to switch from a gas-powered car to a pure EV. The combination of a large battery and a fuel backup reduces the anxiety often associated with transitioning to electric vehicles.

For those who frequently visit clients or travel between cities, avoiding a dedicated charging stop means fewer interruptions to their journey. The ability to run the air conditioning or power equipment while parked adds further value to the larger battery. Whether the N70 can attract these users will determine if it's simply taking existing extended-range orders or bringing genuinely new demand into the market.

The competitive landscape for the N90 is even more brutal. Prices for large SUVs were already declining before Xiaomi's entry. The Leapmotor D19, an extended-range seven-seater with a 500km range, has a guide price of 239,800 yuan, which is 30,100 yuan less than the N90 Max. Models like the XPeng GX and NIO L90 have also brought the space and comfort of large SUVs into the 200,000-300,000 yuan price bracket.

Xiaomi doesn't have a price advantage across all competitors. Against the Leapmotor D19, the N90 must convince buyers that its variable space, Xiaomi ecosystem, and overall driving experience justify a 30,000 yuan premium. A large battery and big body alone are no longer sufficient to command a higher price.

Together, these products are squeezing the pricing power of more expensive models. Consumers who previously might have spent 300,000 yuan or more on a large SUV now have more complete options in the 200,000-300,000 yuan range. While the N90, D19, and XPeng GX are competing for orders within a similar budget, their primary effect on higher-priced models like the Aito M8, Aito M9, and Li Auto L9 is to intercept customers who were considering a step up in price.

XPeng's CEO He Xiaopeng commented at the launch of its GX in May that the pricing was the result of intense internal debate, aiming to offer an attractive price while ensuring a reasonable profit margin. With flagship products already tasked with driving volume at lower prices, the entry of the Pengcheng puts further pressure on other carmakers' ability to maintain profitability through added features and discounts.

Therefore, Xiaomi's impact is likely to be felt first at the point of sale. Even if a model's sales haven't dropped significantly, customers are already demanding more features or abandoning previously considered high-spec versions. Rivals may hold onto orders but could end up conceding some per-vehicle profit.

One new-energy vehicle executive admitted that in the short term, the Pengcheng's launch would cause some temporary market fluctuations for their models, but assessed that it wouldn't alter the overarching trends in terms of user experience and charging costs.

Another executive from a traditional automaker noted that when a product sells well, competitors will meticulously dissect its features, supply chain, and technology. He believes it's essential to consider whether a cheaper or better-equipped rival might appear within six months of a product's launch, and that the market's dynamics won't be dictated by a single vehicle's success.

This is Xiaomi's predicament. The Pengcheng can serve as a benchmark for consumers comparing vehicles, but the specifications it offers today could be quickly matched by competitors. To sustain its appeal, Xiaomi will need to continually offer new experiences or improve cost efficiency, rather than relying solely on the next, lower price tag.

The Next Phase of Extended-Range Competition

Larger batteries are blurring the lines between extended-range and pure electric vehicles, forcing the extended-range category to answer a more complex economic equation.

An extended-range vehicle carries both a large battery and the backup fuel system, while a pure EV relies on the charging network and vehicle efficiency to make carrying a second energy source unnecessary. A customer's access to charging and their driving patterns determine how much they're willing to pay for that fuel backup.

The Pengcheng's aim is to minimize fuel usage, but the engine, generator, and fuel tank still add cost, weight, and maintenance requirements. While a larger battery extends the electric-only range, it can also push critical concerns like energy supply at low battery levels, overall efficiency, and thermal management to the background behind the headline range figure.

For automakers, the larger the battery, the more critical the allocation of the overall vehicle budget becomes.

One battery manufacturer executive argued that the industry's singular focus on "bigger batteries" for EREVs is misguided. Product managers often prioritize range as the primary metric, allocating the budget to the battery and costs before considering other features. He suggested that investing more in design, cabin experience, and efficiency is a truer test of fundamental product definition skills.

Xiaomi's approach involves offering different battery solutions for different trims. The N70 Pro uses a 52kWh LFP battery from Sunwoda, while the Max version uses a 76kWh ternary lithium battery from CALB. The former helps manage entry-level costs, while the latter leverages higher energy density to mitigate the weight and packaging challenges of a larger pack.

Supplier collaboration also runs deep. As Lei Jun stated, Xiaomi leads the battery pack design and participates in cell design and quality management. CALB highlighted customizations in materials, separators, and electrolytes, while Sunwoda mentioned dedicated production lines for Xiaomi.

This allows Xiaomi to tailor specifications and performance more precisely to its vehicle's needs, but the supplier choices also clearly indicate the trade-offs made to hit a highly competitive price point for the Pengcheng.

Scale will be the critical factor underpinning this strategy. Consistent and sustained order volume is necessary to fully leverage the benefits of custom development and manufacturing investments. Otherwise, the parallel operation of pure electric and extended-range production lines could lead to poor cost amortization, eroding profitability.

This is the true test for Xiaomi and Qijing as they enter a cooling market. The Pengcheng's strategy of packing more battery and space into a 200,000-300,000 yuan vehicle is aimed at attracting new customers beyond the SU7 and YU7, and using those orders to boost manufacturing efficiency. If Xiaomi's growth relies primarily on continuously adding features and cutting prices to maintain its "value" image, it will find itself in a race to the bottom, chased by the very expectations it has created.

The next stage for extended-range vehicles may involve selling more units while seeing the segment's former premiums evaporate. Once large batteries and long range become standard in the 200,000-300,000 yuan segment, consumers will quickly stop paying extra for them, yet automakers will continue to bear the costs of two energy systems. The profits historically earned from solving range anxiety will increasingly be passed on to consumers.

Whether the extended-range market can return to growth will depend on the performance of new models. However, the days of easily selling vehicles at a premium simply because they feature an extended-range system are growing increasingly difficult.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Most Discussed

  1. 1
     
     
     
     
  2. 2
     
     
     
     
  3. 3
     
     
     
     
  4. 4
     
     
     
     
  5. 5
     
     
     
     
  6. 6
     
     
     
     
  7. 7
     
     
     
     
  8. 8
     
     
     
     
  9. 9
     
     
     
     
  10. 10